On October 2 I wrote a commentary warning the Clinton campaign not to take the Granite State for granted. They had just gotten two pieces of great news — an increase in their lead in New Hampshire over Obama, and a better-than-expected fund-raising result from the prior period.

The commentary was picked up by the Reuters News Service. I sent a copy to Clinton Campaign HQ in Manchester. Evidently, no one read it or believed it enough to change their strategy. So they did exactly what they were warned not to do. In two months, Hillary’s campaign –primarily her paid staffers and political surrogates — blew a 20 point lead.

I think they can come back. They just have to wake up, speak up like Shaheen did the other day, and act out — act out of passion for Hillary Clinton’s candidacy and the future of this country. Nominating Obama is the way to ensure another four years of GOP mismanagement in the White House. He is NOT ELECTABLE.

For those of us who remember McGovern, the lesson is clear: the way to make change is from within. The way to the White House is down a middle road, not some side road at the extremes. That’s where Obama wants to take the Democrats. And that’s the one road the Republicans would love to see us travel.

For those of you who are interested, here’s the original commentary, “Hillary Can’t Take the Granite State for Granted.” 

The news for Hillary Clinton’s New Hampshire campaign can’t get much better.

In recent weeks, polls in the Granite State have shown her in impressive leads over Obama and Edwards. Today, we’ve learned that her overall campaign fund-raising far exceeded expectations. More to the point, they far exceeded Obama’s fund-raising during the same period.

Hillary’s campaign was quick to boast about her dual front-runner status in an email to supporters.

This is my eighth presidential primary as a New Hampshire voter. The first one I remember hanging out at the old Concord Highway Hotel and watching Jesse Jackson and Jack Germond sharing an adult beverage in the hotel bar.

What I also remember watching during the past 32 years has been the contrariness of New Hampshire voters, and how quickly they turn on front-runners. As a group, we tend to take pity on underdogs and lash back at the winners who think they have things “locked up.”

My advice to Hillary and her campaign: don’t act like the winner, not around here, and certainly not yet. Front-runner status in New Hampshire is the kiss of death.

The political highway from New Hampshire down to the border we share with that Big Blue State below us is littered with the aspirations of presidential wannabes who left here thinking they had us all figured out.